August crop production numbers for the Dakotas & U.S.

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August Crop Production

Survey respondents who reported acreage as not yet planted in Minnesota, Montana, North Dakota, and South Dakota during the survey conducted in preparation for the Acreage report, released June 30, 2011 were re-contacted in July to determine how many of those acres were planted or still intended to be planted. Acreage estimates in this report reflect this updated information.

 

North Dakota

Spring wheat planted acreage is estimated at 5.90 million acres, according to the USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service, North Dakota Field Office. Spring wheat to be harvested for grain is estimated at 5.70 million acres. Production is forecast at 228 million bushels, 18 percent below last year. The forecasted yield is 40.0 bushels per harvested acre.

Durum wheat planted area is estimated 800,000 acres. Harvested acreage is expected to total 770,000. Production is forecast at 24.6 million bushels, 63 percent below last year. The forecasted yield is 32.0 bushels per acre.

Winter wheat production is forecast at 15.2 million bushels, down 14 percent from the previous year. Winter wheat yield is forecast at 49.0 bushels per acre, down 1.0 bushel from the July forecast and 6.0 bushels less than last year.

Soybean planted area is estimated at 4.15 million acres. Harvested acreage is expected to total 4.10 million. Production is forecast at 123 million bushels, an 11 percent decrease from 2010. Average yield is expected to be 30.0 bushels per harvested acre, down 4.0 bushels from last year.

Barley planted acreage is estimated at 460,000. Harvested area is expected to total 420,000 acres. Production is forecast at 24.8 million bushels, down 43 percent from last year. The average yield is forecast at 59.0 bushels per acre, up 4.0 bushels from last month but down 6.0 bushels from last year.

Canola acreage is down 30 percent from last year to 890,000 planted acres. It is estimated that 880,000 acres will be harvested, also down considerably from 2010.

Corn planted for all purposes is estimated at 2.30 million acres, unchanged from the June estimate. Acreage to be harvested for grain is estimated to be 2.10 million acres, also unchanged from the June estimate. Corn for grain production is forecast at 263 million bushels, up 6 percent from last year. Average yield is forecast at 125 bushels per harvested acre, down 7.0 bushels from last year.

Oil sunflower planted area is estimated at 600,000 acres. An estimated 580,000 acres are expected to be harvested. Non-oil sunflower planted acreage is estimated at 90,000. Harvested area is forecast at 85,000 acres.

The production forecasts in this report are based on yield projections and acreage reports from a cross-section on North Dakota producers around August 1. This report is based on conditions around August 1, and assumes no extreme conditions during the remainder of the crop season.

 

South Dakota

South Dakota’s first corn production forecast for 2011 is for higher production from last year’s levels, while soybean production is down, according to the South Dakota office of USDA’s National Agricultural Statistics Service. Crop forecasts are based on reports and conditions as of August 1, 2011.

Corn production for South Dakota is forecast at 676.8 million bushels, up 19 percent from last year’s 569.7 million bushels. Yield, forecast at 141 bushels per acre, is up 6 bushels from last year. Acres to be harvested for grain, at 4.80 million, are up 14 percent (580,000 acres) from last year.

Soybean production forecast, at 153.9 million bushels, is down 2 percent from last year’s estimate of 157.3 million bushels. Estimated yield of 38 bushels per acre is unchanged from last year. Acres for harvest, at 4.05 million, are 2 percent (90,000 acres) from last year. Planted acres are now estimated at 4.1 million based on the re-interview survey conducted in July.

Alfalfa hay production is forecast at 5.63 million tons, up 9 percent from last year. Forecasted yield is 2.5 tons per acre, up 0.1 ton from last year. Acres for harvest, at 2.3 million, are up 100,000 acres from last year. The August 1 forecast for other hay production, at 2.04 million tons, is 6 percent from last year. Forecasted yield is 1.7 tons per acre, up 0.2 ton from a year ago. Other hay harvested acreage, at 1.20 million, is down 250,000 acres from last year.

Winter wheat production is forecast at 71.3 million bushels, down 6 percent from the July 1 forecast but 12 percent above last year’s production of 63.7 million bushels. The August 1 yield, at 46 bushels, is down 3 bushels from last month’s forecast and from last year.

Other spring wheat production is forecast at 46.8 million bushels, down 5 percent from the July 1 forecast and down 21 percent from last year. Yield, at 40 bushels per acre, is down 2 bushels from last month’s forecast and from last year’s yield of 42 bushels per acre.

Sorghum production is forecast at 7.0 million bushels, up 33 percent from 2010. Expected yield, at 67 bushels per acre, is 5 bushel above last year. Grain sorghum harvested acres, at 105,000, are up 20,000 acres from last year.

Oat production is forecast at 4.7 million bushels, up 6 percent from the July 1 forecast but down 38 percent from last year. The forecast yield of 72 bushels is up 4 bushels from the July 1 forecast but unchanged from last year’s yield. Acres harvested for grain are forecast at 65,000, down 38 percent from last year.

Dry Edible Bean production is forecast at 128,000 cwt., down 44 percent from last year. Expected yield, forecast at 1800 pounds per acre, is down 12 percent from 2,040 pounds last year. Harvested acres, at 7,100, are down 37 percent from last year’s 11,300 acres.

 

United States

Spring wheat production is forecast at 522 million bushels, down 5 percent from last month and down 15 percent from last year. The expected area to be harvested for grain totals 12.3 million acres, down 7 percent from last month and down 8 percent from last year. The yield is forecast at 42.5 bushels per acre, up 0.8 bushel from last month but down 3.6 bushels from 2010.

Durum wheat production is forecast at 57.1 million bushels, down 10 percent from July and down 47 percent from 2010. The yield is forecast at 42.4 bushels per acre, up 3.7 bushels from last month but unchanged from last year. Expected area to be harvested for grain totals 1.35 million acres, down 18 percent from last month and down 47 percent from last year.

Soybean production is forecast at 3.06 billion bushels, down 8 percent from last year. Based on August 1 conditions, yields are expected to average 41.4 bushels per acre, down 2.1 bushels from last year. Area for harvest is forecast at 73.8 million acres, down less than 1 percent from June and down 4 percent from 2010. Planted area is estimated at 75.0 million acres, down fractionally from June.

Barley production for 2011 is forecast at 168 million bushels, down 3 percent from the July forecast and 7 percent from 2010. Based on conditions as of August 1, the average yield is forecast at 70.4 bushels per acre, up 0.8 bushel from July but 2.7 bushels below last year’s record high. Area harvested for grain or seed, at 2.39 million acres, is down 4 percent from the previous forecast and down 3 percent from 2010. If realized, this will be the smallest harvested area since 1881.

Corn production is forecast at 12.9 billion bushels, up 4 percent from 2010. If realized, this will be the third largest production total on record for the United States. Based on conditions as of August 1, yields are expected to average 153.0 bushels per acre, up 0.2 bushel from 2010, and the fourth highest yield on record. Acreage planted for all purposes is estimated at 92.3 million acres, unchanged from the June estimate. Area harvested for grain is forecast at 84.4 million acres, down less than 1 percent from June but up 4 percent from 2010.

Dry edible bean production is forecast at 20.5 million cwt for 2011, down 36 percent from last year. Planted area is forecast at 1.27 million acres, down 34 percent from the previous year. Harvested area is forecast at 1.19 million acres, down 35 percent from the previous year’s harvested acreage. The average yield is forecast at 1,718 pounds per acre, a decrease of 8 pounds from 2010.

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