Small Grain Estimates Update
Survey respondents who reported barley, oat, Durum wheat, or other spring wheat acreage as not yet harvested in Idaho, Maine, Montana, North Dakota, Oregon, and Washington during the surveys conducted in preparation for the Small Grains 2011 Summary were re-contacted in late October to determine how many of the acres were actually harvested and record the actual production from those acres. Based on this updated information, several changes were made to the estimates published in the Small Grains 2011 Summary. Because unharvested production is a component of on-farm stocks, changes were made to the September 1 on-farm stocks levels comparable with the production adjustments.
South Dakota’s November 1 corn production is forecast at 648.0 million bushels according to the South Dakota Office of USDA’s National Agricultural Statistics Service. The forecasted production is down 3 percent from last month but up 14 percent from last year’s level. Yield is forecast at 135 bushels per acre, down 4 bushels from the October forecast but even with last year’s yield. Acres to be harvested for grain are forecast at 4.8 million, unchanged from the previous forecast but up 14 percent from last year’s level. Soybean production is forecast at 153.9 million bushels, down 3 percent from last month and down 2 percent from last year’s production. Yield, at 38 bushels per acre, is down 1 bushel from last month but even with last year. Acres for harvest are forecast at 4.05 million, down 2 percent from last year. Sorghum production is forecast at 5.27 million bushels, down 5 percent from last month but even with last year’s level. Yield, at 62 bushels per acre, is down 3 bushels from the previous forecast but is even with last year. Grain sorghum harvested acres, forecast at 85,000, are even with last year.
Durum wheat harvested acreage for North Dakota decreased 5,000 acres to 715,000 acres and average yield decreased 0.5 bushels to 25.5 bushels per acre. Total Durum production fell 487,500 bushels to 18.2 million bushels.
Spring wheat harvested acreage remained at 5.50 million acres while average yield decreased 1.0 bushel to 30.5 bushels per acre. Total spring wheat production fell 5.5 million bushels to 168 million bushels.
Barley harvested acres remained at 350,000 acres. The average yield of 47.0 bushels was also not changed. Production remained unchanged at 16.5 million bushels.
Oat harvested acreage was unchanged at 85,000 acres, while the average yield decreased 3.0 bushels to 52.0 bushels per acre. Total production decreased 170,000 bushels to 4.42 million bushels.
Sources: USDA NASS ND & SD Field Offices