August 9, 2022
Fargo, US 80 F

Drought conditions adding up across the Midwest

The weather forecast calls for extreme heat in the Midwest, with high temperatures reminiscent of famous heat waves as 1995, 1988 and 1983. Episodes of hot to very hot weather look to affect reproductive corn during the balance of this week and for much of next week as well.

DTN Meteorologist Bryce Anderson pointed out that weather watchers are giving a new name to this year’s situation after a reversal in crop prospects came at such an abrupt pace. They are calling the situation a “flash drought”, a term reportedly surfacing in describing last year’s weather situation in the Midwest when government drought indicators over the course of six weeks went from no drought conditions to moderate drought.

Market Analysts Gary Wilhelmi is watching the weather trends, and he’s been digging into historical drought events that corresponded with increase sun spot activity…

Wilhelmi 1

A new twist to this year is the dryness and mild weather that we’ve seen since August or September of last year…

Wilhelmi 2

During May and into early June, the common thought of most traders and analysts was a record crop could be on the way, with planting about two weeks ahead of usual.

Areas of concern for hot and dry weather include almost the entire states of Missouri, Illinois, Indiana and Kentucky. Rainfall since the beginning of this month has been well under average from central Iowa all the way east to Ohio. Wilhelmi sums up the comparative situations to past weather and this year’s weather…

Wilhelmi 3

As a heat wave extends from the center of the country eastward, MDA EarthSat Weather said record highs in many areas are likely to be followed by more intense heat into early July and the Independence Day holiday.

St. Louis’s forecast high today would be the highest June temperature on record and Chicago temperatures are expected today to tie a record temperature they haven’t seen since June 1988. Overnight lows will bring little relief, falling only into the 70s from the Plains to Mid-Atlantic.

 

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