At its monthly meeting today, the Farm Credit Administration board received a quarterly report (PDF) on economic issues affecting agriculture, together with an update on the financial condition and performance of the Farm Credit System (System) as of June 30, 2024.
The latest consumer price index data indicates a slowdown in inflation, which has dropped below three percent for the first time since 2021. The Federal Reserve is expected to begin cutting interest rates this month, while longer-term interest rates have been falling for weeks.
Crop yields are expected to be high this fall, putting downward pressure on prices. Corn and soybean futures have fallen over 30 percent in the past 18 months. While the pressure is on crop producers, livestock producers are benefiting from lower feed prices and higher product prices, improving their 2024 profitability. Strong financial positions from high incomes in 2021 and 2022 have provided a cushion for farmers heading into a more challenging business environment.
However, weak crop margins are set to further erode farm sector income this year. Portfolio growth in the farm credit system showed solid financial results with modest growth in the first half of 2024.